All matches

CS Constantine — MC Oran, Ligue 1

Algeria, Ligue 1

  
2.3DWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%29%28%
CS Constantine43%Draw29%MC Oran28%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CS Constantine43%2.35—
XDraw29%3.41—
2MC Oran28%3.55—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.80

No44%

ours 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3682 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3671 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3661 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CS ConstantineMC Oran

CS Constantine 43%, MC Oran 28%. The safest is “CS Constantine or draw” at 72%.

CS Constantine 43%Draw 29%MC Oran 28%
1st half
36 · 45 · 19
2nd half
34 · 37 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total offsides: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCS ConstantineMC OranCombined
Goals scored1.400.602.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

CS Constantine
  • 3 defeats in a row0:3, 2:4, 0:2, 4:0, 1:5
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 6.7 per match15 teams in the league
  • Worst defence in the league — 15 conceded in 7 matches11th place, 7 points
MC Oran
  • 5 clean sheets in the last 50:0, 1:0, 1:0, 0:0, 1:0
  • League leaders — 14 points from 6 matches
  • Unbeaten in 7 matches0:0, 1:0, 1:0, 0:0, 1:0

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

CS Constantine

  • awayAkbou0:3
  • homeJS El Biar2:4
  • awayUSM Khenchela0:2
  • homeUS Biskra4:0
  • awayES Setif1:5

MC Oran

  • awayJS El Biar0:0
  • homeUSM Khenchela1:0
  • awayUS Biskra1:0
  • homeES Setif0:0
  • awayASO Chlef1:0

Head to head

  • 04/03/26Ligue 10:1
  • 11/01/25Ligue 10:1
  • 05/22/25Ligue 12:2
  • 11/02/24Ligue 10:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1MC Oran64205:014
2CR Belouizdad642011:714
3JS Kabylie641110:313
4MB Rouisset74127:413
5USM Alger63218:511
6MC Alger43105:110
7Akbou63129:610
8JS El Biar722312:118
9Temouchent72235:88
10ES Ben Aknoun61417:77
11CS Constantine721411:157
12ES Setif61237:65
13USM Khenchela61233:65

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.