Both teams to score
Yes37%
ours 2.68
No63%
ours 1.59
All matches
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Chacarita Juniors — Nueva Chicago, Prim B Nacional
Argentina, Prim B Nacional
Chacarita Juniors
WLWLL
Nueva Chicago
LWDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%32%22%
Chacarita Juniors46%Draw32%Nueva Chicago22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Chacarita Juniors2.19—
XDraw3.12—
2Nueva Chicago4.48—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricChacarita JuniorsNueva ChicagoCombined
Goals scored0.830.331.16
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners8.36.37.3
Cards4.03.77.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Chacarita JuniorsNueva Chicago
CA Chacarita Juniors 46%, CA Nueva Chicago 22%. The safest is “CA Chacarita Juniors or draw” at 78%.
CA Chacarita Juniors 46%Draw 32%CA Nueva Chicago 22%
1st half
37 · 47 · 16
2nd half
32 · 46 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 2.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Chacarita Juniors
- homePatronato1:0
- awayColegiales1:2
- homeQuilmes3:0
- awayFerrocarril Midland0:1
- homeAtlanta0:1
Nueva Chicago
- homeDeportivo Maipu0:1
- awayAlmagro1:0
- homePatronato1:1
- awayColegiales0:1
- homeQuilmes1:0
Head to head
- 06/13/26Prim B Nacional0:2
- 06/28/25Prim B Nacional0:0
- 02/24/25Prim B Nacional1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
26
Agropecuario329101326:3537
Agropecuario329101326:353727
Racing de Cordoba329101329:3937
Racing de Cordoba329101329:393728Nueva Chicago32991423:3036
Nueva Chicago32991423:303629
Mitre327141129:3935
Mitre327141129:393530
Patronato326161027:3234
Patronato326161027:323431Chacarita Juniors32961724:3333
Chacarita Juniors32961724:333332
Central Norte326151120:2933
Central Norte326151120:293333
All Boys326151118:2833
All Boys326151118:2833Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.