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Bryne FK — Kongsvinger, First Division: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Norway, First Division

2.1DLDLW
  
2.6LWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
40%25%34%
Bryne FK40%Draw25%Kongsvinger34%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Bryne FK40%2.48—
XDraw25%3.97—
2Kongsvinger34%2.90—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes66%

ours 1.52

No34%

ours 2.92

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Bryne FKKongsvinger

Bryne FK 40%, Kongsvinger IL 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Bryne FK 40%Draw 25%Kongsvinger IL 34%
1st half
44 · 35 · 21
2nd half
30 · 31 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBryne FKKongsvingerCombined
Goals scored1.602.804.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Bryne FK
  • Unbeaten at home in 4 matches3:3, 1:1, 1:0, 2:0, 0:2
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches10 goals conceded
  • 15th of 16 for corners — 10.1 per match16 teams in the league
Kongsvinger
  • 14 goals in the last 5 matches1:3, 4:0, 1:5, 6:2, 2:0
  • Best attack in the league — 82 goals in 28 matches3rd place, 59 points
  • Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Bryne FK

  • homeEgersund3:3
  • awayRanheim2:4
  • homeRaufoss1:1
  • awayOdds1:2
  • homeLyn1:0

Kongsvinger

  • awaySogndal1:3
  • homeSandnes Ulf4:0
  • awayStromsgodset1:5
  • homeRanheim6:2
  • awayMoss2:0

Head to head

  • 04/07/26First Division0:3
  • 08/19/24First Division1:1
  • 06/01/24First Division1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Haugesund28202681:4762
2Stromsgodset28186476:3460
3Kongsvinger28185582:4559
4Stabaek28174766:3455
5Odds28136954:4345
6Bryne FK281241240:4140
7Ranheim281151271:6838
8Hodd281151249:5638

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.