All matches

IL Hødd — Bryne FK, First Division

Norway, First Division

IL Hødd
LLLDW
—
Bryne FK
1.6WWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
22%25%52%
IL Hødd22%Draw25%Bryne FK52%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1IL Hødd22%4.49—
XDraw25%3.95—
2Bryne FK52%1.91—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes43%

ours 2.31

No57%

ours 1.77

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIL HøddBryne FKCombined
Goals scored0.500.831.33
Conceded1.330.001.33
Corners12.011.011.5
Cards1.50.52.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches

Corners

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70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

IL HøddBryne FK

IL Hødd 22%, Bryne FK 52%. The safest is “Bryne FK or draw” at 80%.

IL Hødd 22%Draw 25%Bryne FK 52%
1st half
18 · 45 · 36
2nd half
19 · 38 · 43
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

IL Hødd

  • homeOdds2:3
  • awayKongsvinger IL1:5
  • homeFC Lyn Oslo0:2
  • awayÅsane Fotball2:2
  • homeStabæk Fotball2:1

Bryne FK

  • homeFC Lyn Oslo1:0
  • awayÅsane Fotball4:0
  • homeStabæk Fotball2:0
  • awayStrømmen IF0:2
  • homeHaugesund0:2

Head to head

  • 05/31/26First Division0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Stabæk Fotball24143757:3145
5Odds24116750:3839
6Bryne FK241221033:3138
7IL Hødd241041040:4834
8Ranheim Fotball24941161:5831
9Egersunds IK24851136:4929

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.