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Brentford vs Chelsea: result 3:0

England, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 3:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Brentford 41%, Chelsea 33%, draw 26%.

Brentford
2.3WDLDW
3:0HT 0:0
Chelsea
2.2WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
41%26%33%
BrentfordPrice 2.6741%DrawPrice 3.7826%ChelseaPrice 2.6633%
Line-upsBrentford4-2-3-1—Chelsea3-4-2-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Brentford4-2-3-1Chelsea3-4-2-1

Brentford 4-2-3-1

Coach: Keith Andrews

Starting XI

  • 1GKRepublic of IrelandC. Kelleher
  • 33DFItalyM. Kayode
  • 44DFAustriaJannik Schuster
  • 20DFNorwayK. Ajer
  • 23DFEnglandK. Lewis-Potter
  • 6MFUkraineY. Yarmolyuk
  • 27MFGermanyV. Janelt
  • 19MFEnglandJ. Anthony
  • 24MFDenmarkM. Damsgaard
  • 7MFGermanyK. Schade
  • 9FWBrazilThiago

Substitutes

  • 31GKEnglandE. Balcombe
  • 14MFPortugalFábio Carvalho
  • 25DFSenegalE. Diouf
  • 48DFNigeriaB. Fredrick
  • 3DFEnglandR. Henry
  • 2DFScotlandA. Hickey
  • 11FWBurkina FasoD. Ouattara
  • 18MFMaliM. Sangaré
  • 13FWEnglandC. Wilson

Chelsea 3-4-2-1

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Starting XI

  • 1GKArgentinaE. Martínez
  • 3DFFranceW. Fofana
  • 5DFFranceM. Lacroix
  • 6DFEnglandL. Colwill
  • 7MFPortugalPedro Neto
  • 14MFEnglandJ. Henderson
  • 4MFArgentinaV. Barco
  • 29MFSpainPep Chavarría
  • 10MFEnglandC. Palmer
  • 17MFEnglandM. Rogers
  • 18FWEnglandD. Welbeck

Substitutes

  • 23MFGuinea-BissauGeovany Tcherno Quenda
  • 39GKBelgiumM. Penders
  • 32MFEnglandM. Nicoll-Jazuli
  • 45MFBelgiumR. Lavia
  • 21DFNetherlandsJ. Hato
  • 27DFFranceM. Gusto
  • 11FWEnglandJ. Bynoe-Gittens
  • 41FWBrazilEstêvão
  • 34DFEnglandJoshua Kofi Acheampong

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.50xG1.34
40Possession, %60
13Shots12
6Shots on target2
4Corners12
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
10Fouls7
2Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 63 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Brentford41%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.562%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes65%

    Actual: No — we had 35%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Brentford41%37%2.452.67+3.9
XDraw26%26%3.843.78+0.1
2Chelsea33%37%3.022.66-4.0

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Brentford

  • homeNottingham Forest2:0
  • awayHull City1:1
  • homeLiverpool1:2
  • awayAston Villa2:2
  • homeChelsea3:0

Chelsea

  • homeManchester United2:0
  • homeTottenham0:2
  • awayEverton2:0
  • homeBournemouth5:1
  • awayBrentford0:3

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Premier League3:0
  • 01/17/26Premier League0:2
  • 09/13/25Premier League2:2
  • 04/06/25Premier League0:0
  • 12/15/24Premier League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Manchester City970220:1021
3Brighton961224:719
4Chelsea951319:1516
5Liverpool943211:915
6Brentford935116:914
7Everton93429:913
8Bournemouth933314:1312

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Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.