Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 1.99
No50%
ours 2.01
All matches
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Albirex Niigata — Vegalta Sendai, J2 League
Japan, J2 League
Albirex Niigata
WDWWL
Vegalta Sendai
WWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
28%26%46%
Albirex Niigata28%Draw26%Vegalta Sendai46%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Albirex Niigata3.64—
XDraw3.80—
2Vegalta Sendai2.16—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Albirex NiigataVegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata 27%, Vegalta Sendai 46%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Albirex Niigata 27%Draw 26%Vegalta Sendai 46%
1st half
24 · 39 · 37
2nd half
23 · 42 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAlbirex NiigataVegalta SendaiCombined
Goals scored1.001.172.17
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners7.711.39.5
Cards0.72.02.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Albirex Niigata
- homeTokushima Vortis2:1
- awayBlaublitz Akita2:2
- homeJubilo Iwata2:1
- homeMontedio Yamagata1:0
- awayYokohama FC0:5
Vegalta Sendai
- homeJubilo Iwata2:1
- awayIwaki FC2:0
- awayTochigi City3:1
- homeConsadole Sapporo1:1
- awayShonan Bellmare3:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Vegalta Sendai962117:820
Vegalta Sendai962117:8202Albirex Niigata961213:1319
Albirex Niigata961213:13193
Kataller Toyama952218:917
Kataller Toyama952218:9174
Omiya Ardija945017:817
Omiya Ardija945017:817Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.