Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.67
No40%
ours 2.48
All matches
—
Al Ahli SC Doha — Al Sailiya SC, Stars League
Qatar, Stars League
Al Ahli SC Doha
LWDLW
Al Sailiya SC
LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%21%28%
Al Ahli SC Doha51%Draw21%Al Sailiya SC28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Ahli SC Doha1.96—
XDraw4.69—
2Al Sailiya SC3.63—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 907 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 906 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 903 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al Ahli SC DohaAl Sailiya SC
Al Ahli SC Doha 51%, Al Sailiya SC 28%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Al Ahli SC Doha 51%Draw 21%Al Sailiya SC 28%
1st half
40 · 38 · 22
2nd half
41 · 33 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Most corners: Home
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl Ahli SC DohaAl Sailiya SCCombined
Goals scored1.671.333.00
Conceded1.832.834.66
Corners8.89.39.1
Cards1.72.03.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Al Ahli SC Doha
- awayAl Rayyan SC0:3
- homeQatar SC1:0
- homeLusail City FC3:3
- awayAl Sadd SC1:3
- awayUmm Salal SC3:1
Al Sailiya SC
- homeAl Sadd SC3:6
- homeAl Arabi SC0:2
- awayAl-Shahaniya SC2:3
- awayAl Duhail SC0:2
- awayAl Wakrah SC1:3
Head to head
- 04/03/26Stars League2:2
- 11/01/25Stars League2:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
Al Wakrah SC51227:115
Al Wakrah SC51227:1158
Al-Shahaniya SC41127:94
Al-Shahaniya SC41127:949Al Ahli SC Doha41125:94
Al Ahli SC Doha41125:9410
Al Gharafa SC51136:114
Al Gharafa SC51136:11411
Qatar SC40224:92
Qatar SC40224:9212Al Sailiya SC40045:130
Al Sailiya SC40045:130Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.