All matches

Wisla Plock — Piast Gliwice, Ekstraklasa

Poland, Ekstraklasa

Wisla Plock
1.9WWDLL
—
Piast Gliwice
1.8LWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
44%26%30%
Wisla Plock44%Draw26%Piast Gliwice30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wisla Plock44%2.28—
XDraw26%3.84—
2Piast Gliwice30%3.32—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.73

No42%

ours 2.38

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricWisla PlockPiast GliwiceCombined
Goals scored1.001.002.00
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners8.311.39.8
Cards1.72.03.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Wisla PlockPiast Gliwice

Wisła Płock SA 44%, GKS Piast Gliwice 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

Wisła Płock SA 44%Draw 26%GKS Piast Gliwice 30%
1st half
39 · 39 · 22
2nd half
30 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Wisla Plock

  • awayZaglebie Lubin2:0
  • homeCracovia Krakow3:1
  • awayPogon Szczecin1:1
  • homeKorona Kielce0:2
  • awayGKS Katowice0:5

Piast Gliwice

  • homePogon Szczecin1:2
  • awayRadomiak Radom2:0
  • homeGKS Katowice3:0
  • awayMotor Lublin2:0
  • homeLegia Warsaw1:1

Head to head

  • 02/09/26Ekstraklasa0:1
  • 08/01/25Ekstraklasa2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Korona Kielce943212:1015
7Zaglebie Lubin943211:1015
8Piast Gliwice941416:1513
9GKS Katowice840416:1312
10Jagiellonia840412:1312
11Wisla Plock83239:1211
12Widzew Lodz916213:139
13Cracovia Krakow92259:148

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.