All matches

Universidad Central de Venezuela — Portuguesa, Primera División

Venezuela, Primera División

Universidad Central de Venezuela
2.5DWWDD
—
Portuguesa
1.7LWLDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%26%22%
Universidad Central de Venezuela51%Draw26%Portuguesa22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Universidad Central de Venezuela51%1.95—
XDraw26%3.82—
2Portuguesa22%4.46—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.78

No44%

ours 2.28

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricUniversidad Central de VenezuelaPortuguesaCombined
Goals scored0.830.831.66
Conceded0.331.171.50
Corners8.27.67.9
Cards3.62.66.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Universidad Central de VenezuelaPortuguesa

Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 51%, Portuguesa FC 22%. The safest is “Universidad Central de Venezuela FC or draw” at 77%.

Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 51%Draw 26%Portuguesa FC 22%
1st half
36 · 40 · 24
2nd half
39 · 39 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 6.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Universidad Central de Venezuela

  • homeCarabobo1:1
  • homeAcademia Anzoategui1:0
  • awayDeportivo La Guaira2:0
  • homeAcademia Puerto Cabello0:0
  • awayEstudiantes de Merida1:1

Portuguesa

  • awayAcademia Puerto Cabello1:2
  • homeEstudiantes de Merida2:1
  • awayRayo Zuliano0:2
  • homeZamora1:1
  • awayCaracas1:1

Head to head

  • 05/30/26Primera División2:3
  • 05/02/26Primera División1:1
  • 04/25/26Primera División0:3
  • 08/03/25Primera División2:0
  • 05/31/25Primera División3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Deportivo La Guaira301311641:2750
5Academia Puerto Cabello311210940:3246
6Portuguesa301111840:3344
7Universidad Central de Venezuela301281044:3944
8Estudiantes de Merida301161335:3839
9Rayo Zuliano24831331:4527

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.