Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.75
No43%
ours 2.32
All matches
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Unione Sportiva Arezzo — US Cremonese, Serie B
Italy, Serie B
Unione Sportiva Arezzo
LWLLW
US Cremonese
1.3DDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%28%36%
Unione Sportiva Arezzo36%Draw28%US Cremonese36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Unione Sportiva Arezzo2.80—
XDraw3.59—
2US Cremonese2.75—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUnione Sportiva ArezzoUS CremoneseCombined
Goals scored1.201.002.20
Conceded2.601.834.43
Corners8.87.38.1
Cards1.41.83.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Unione Sportiva ArezzoUS Cremonese
Unione Sportiva Arezzo 36%, US Cremonese 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Unione Sportiva Arezzo 36%Draw 28%US Cremonese 36%
1st half
31 · 42 · 28
2nd half
28 · 35 · 38
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Unione Sportiva Arezzo
- homeFC Südtirol1:4
- awayEmpoli FC1:0
- awayHellas Verona FC0:5
- homeUS Città di Palermo2:3
- awayUS Avellino2:1
US Cremonese
- homeACD Virtus Entella0:0
- awayAC Cesena2:2
- homeCalcio Padova Spa3:1
- homeModena FC0:3
- awayEmpoli FC0:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11
Calcio Padova Spa52125:67
Calcio Padova Spa52125:6712
Empoli FC52034:66
Empoli FC52034:6613Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:136
Unione Sportiva Arezzo52036:13614
ACD Virtus Entella51227:65
ACD Virtus Entella51227:6515US Cremonese51225:75
US Cremonese51225:7516
Vicenza Calcio51227:105
Vicenza Calcio51227:10517
SS Juve Stabia51224:75
SS Juve Stabia51224:75Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.