Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.69
No41%
ours 2.44
All matches
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Jagiellonia — Wisla Plock, Ekstraklasa
Poland, Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia
2.8LLLWL
Wisla Plock
1.9WWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
52%25%23%
Jagiellonia52%Draw25%Wisla Plock23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Jagiellonia1.94—
XDraw4.00—
2Wisla Plock4.26—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricJagielloniaWisla PlockCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded0.830.671.50
Corners10.58.89.6
Cards1.51.53.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
JagielloniaWisla Plock
SSA Jagiellonia Białystok 51%, Wisła Płock SA 23%. The safest is “SSA Jagiellonia Białystok or draw” at 75%.
SSA Jagiellonia Białystok 51%Draw 25%Wisła Płock SA 23%
1st half
40 · 37 · 24
2nd half
36 · 39 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Jagiellonia
- homeLegia Warsaw1:3
- awayOlympiakos1:2
- awayWisla Krakow0:2
- homeSlask Wroclaw2:1
- awayLech Poznan1:2
Wisla Plock
- awayZaglebie Lubin2:0
- homeCracovia Krakow3:1
- awayPogon Szczecin1:1
- homeKorona Kielce0:2
- awayGKS Katowice0:5
Head to head
- 03/21/26Ekstraklasa1:2
- 09/19/25Ekstraklasa1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Piast Gliwice941416:1513
Piast Gliwice941416:15139
GKS Katowice840416:1312
GKS Katowice840416:131210Jagiellonia840412:1312
Jagiellonia840412:131211Wisla Plock83239:1211
Wisla Plock83239:121112
Widzew Lodz916213:139
Widzew Lodz916213:13913
Cracovia Krakow92259:148
Cracovia Krakow92259:148Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.