All matches

Sigma Olomouc — Slovan Liberec, First League

Czech Republic, First League

Sigma Olomouc
2.0LWWLW
—
Slovan Liberec
2.3DWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
38%26%36%
Sigma Olomouc38%Draw26%Slovan Liberec36%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sigma Olomouc38%2.62—
XDraw26%3.86—
2Slovan Liberec36%2.78—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.80

No44%

ours 2.25

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSigma OlomoucSlovan LiberecCombined
Goals scored1.501.332.83
Conceded1.170.171.34
Corners10.29.810.0
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Sigma OlomoucSlovan Liberec

SK Sigma Olomouc 38%, FC Slovan Liberec 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

SK Sigma Olomouc 38%Draw 26%FC Slovan Liberec 36%
1st half
35 · 40 · 24
2nd half
29 · 37 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Under 1.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Sigma Olomouc

  • homeSparta Prague0:3
  • awayViktoria Plzen3:2
  • homeBohemians 19053:0
  • awayBanik Ostrava0:1
  • homePardubice3:1

Slovan Liberec

  • awayLisen0:0
  • homeMlada Boleslav3:0
  • awayJablonec2:1
  • homeHradec Kralove2:0
  • awayFASTAV Zlin1:0

Head to head

  • 11/30/25First League0:1
  • 08/02/25First League2:1
  • 11/24/24First League1:4
  • 07/28/24First League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Slavia Prague972025:623
2Slovan Liberec962113:420
3Mlada Boleslav852117:917
4Sigma Olomouc951316:1316
5Teplice951317:1516
6Zbrojovka Brno951312:1216

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.