All matches

Shamrock Rovers — Sligo Rovers, Premier Division

Republic of Ireland, Premier Division

Shamrock Rovers
2.8WLDDL
—
Sligo Rovers
1.0LLLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
68%22%10%
Shamrock Rovers68%Draw22%Sligo Rovers10%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Shamrock Rovers68%1.48—
XDraw22%4.50—
2Sligo Rovers10%9.89—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

ours 1.95

No49%

ours 2.05

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricShamrock RoversSligo RoversCombined
Goals scored0.500.170.67
Conceded0.671.502.17
Corners10.711.010.8
Cards1.72.84.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers

Shamrock Rovers FC 68%, Sligo Rovers FC 10%. The safest is “Shamrock Rovers FC or draw” at 90%.

Shamrock Rovers FC 68%Draw 22%Sligo Rovers FC 10%
1st half
52 · 32 · 16
2nd half
43 · 40 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Shamrock Rovers

  • homeWaterford3:2
  • awaySt Patrick's0:2
  • homeShelbourne0:0
  • awayDerry City3:3
  • awayKuPS0:1

Sligo Rovers

  • homeSt Patrick's0:1
  • homeGalway United1:3
  • awayDrogheda United0:2
  • awayBohemians0:3
  • homeWaterford0:0

Head to head

  • 07/03/26Premier Division2:1
  • 05/22/26Premier Division1:2
  • 03/13/26Premier Division2:0
  • 11/01/25Premier Division1:2
  • 07/05/25Premier Division2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1St Patrick's32178752:2559
2Bohemians32178757:3859
3Shamrock Rovers31178649:3159
4Derry City32914945:4241
5Dundalk3310111250:5541
6Shelbourne329131042:4540
7Galway United329111242:4838
8Waterford327131244:5434
9Drogheda United328101438:5134
10Sligo Rovers32581924:5423

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.