All matches

RKC Waalwijk — Volendam, Eerste Divisie

Netherlands, Eerste Divisie

RKC Waalwijk
1.7DLWWW
—
Volendam
1.9LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%23%30%
RKC Waalwijk48%Draw23%Volendam30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1RKC Waalwijk48%2.10—
XDraw23%4.40—
2Volendam30%3.38—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes64%

ours 1.56

No36%

ours 2.78

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricRKC WaalwijkVolendamCombined
Goals scored2.171.503.67
Conceded1.002.003.00
Corners9.09.69.3
Cards1.61.83.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

RKC WaalwijkVolendam

RKC Waalwijk 48%, FC Volendam 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 78%.

RKC Waalwijk 48%Draw 23%FC Volendam 30%
1st half
45 · 34 · 21
2nd half
37 · 33 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

RKC Waalwijk

  • homeEmmen1:1
  • awayRoda JC0:2
  • homeMVV6:1
  • awayAjax II2:0
  • homeNAC Breda4:2

Volendam

  • awayAlmere City0:1
  • homeVVV Venlo3:2
  • awayAZ II1:4
  • homeDen Bosch2:0
  • awayEmmen3:5

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5MVV951313:1916
6Roda JC94329:715
7RKC Waalwijk935119:1214
8Vitesse942315:1314
9NAC Breda942319:1914
10AZ II941422:1713
11Volendam940520:1712
12PSV II933314:1612
13Eindhoven932415:1911

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.