Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.57
All matches
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Real Sociedad — Levante, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Real Sociedad
1.8WLLWD
Levante
2.1LLDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%24%24%
Real Sociedad51%Draw24%Levante24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Sociedad1.94—
XDraw4.10—
2Levante4.14—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricReal SociedadLevanteCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.671.171.84
Corners12.58.710.6
Cards2.51.33.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Real SociedadLevante
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 51%, Levante UD 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 51%Draw 24%Levante UD 24%
1st half
46 · 35 · 19
2nd half
36 · 35 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Real Sociedad
- awayValencia3:2
- homeBournemouth1:2
- homeAtletico Madrid0:3
- awayElche3:2
- homeCelta Vigo0:0
Levante
- awayVillarreal1:3
- homeBarcelona2:4
- awayMalaga0:0
- homeReal Betis5:2
- awayOsasuna0:0
Head to head
- 04/04/26La Liga2:0
- 12/20/25La Liga1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Alaves732211:611
Alaves732211:6117
Deportivo La Coruna724110:810
Deportivo La Coruna724110:8108Real Sociedad73139:1310
Real Sociedad73139:13109
Villarreal722313:128
Villarreal722313:12810
Athletic Bilbao62227:68
Athletic Bilbao62227:6811
Getafe72234:78
Getafe72234:7812
Rayo Vallecano722311:168
Rayo Vallecano722311:16813
Osasuna72236:138
Osasuna72236:13814
Celta Vigo71428:67
Celta Vigo71428:6715
Espanyol721410:107
Espanyol721410:10716
Racing Santander721411:217
Racing Santander721411:21717Levante61238:125
Levante61238:12518
Elche712411:175
Elche712411:17519
Valencia71154:134
Valencia71154:134Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.