Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.66
No40%
ours 2.52
All matches
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Racing Santander — Espanyol, La Liga
Spain, La Liga
Racing Santander
2.6LLWLW
Espanyol
1.5LLWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
48%25%27%
Racing Santander48%Draw25%Espanyol27%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Racing Santander2.06—
XDraw4.04—
2Espanyol3.73—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRacing SantanderEspanyolCombined
Goals scored1.000.831.83
Conceded2.671.003.67
Corners12.36.39.3
Cards2.82.04.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Racing SantanderEspanyol
Real Racing Club de Santander 48%, Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Real Racing Club de Santander 48%Draw 25%Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol 27%
1st half
40 · 36 · 24
2nd half
31 · 37 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Home or draw
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Racing Santander
- awayCelta Vigo0:5
- awayBarcelona2:7
- homeAlaves2:1
- awayRayo Vallecano2:3
- homeElche3:2
Espanyol
- homeElche1:3
- awayRayo Vallecano1:2
- awayOsasuna2:0
- homeSevilla1:1
- awayReal Sociedad1:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13
Osasuna72236:138
Osasuna72236:13814
Celta Vigo71428:67
Celta Vigo71428:6715Espanyol721410:107
Espanyol721410:10716Racing Santander721411:217
Racing Santander721411:21717
Levante61238:125
Levante61238:12518
Elche712411:175
Elche712411:175Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.