Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.08
No52%
ours 1.92
All matches
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Real Espana — Juticalpa, Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras
Honduras, Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras
Real Espana
2.9WDWWD
Juticalpa
0.9WLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
70%21%
Real Espana70%Draw21%Juticalpa8%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Espana1.42—
XDraw4.66—
2Juticalpa12.09—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricReal EspanaJuticalpaCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded0.171.171.34
Corners8.38.08.2
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Real EspanaJuticalpa
Real CD España 70%, Juticalpa FC 8%. The safest is “Real CD España or draw” at 88%.
Real CD España 70%Draw 21%Juticalpa FC 8%
1st half
42 · 43 · 14
2nd half
43 · 38 · 19
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Real Espana
- homeMotagua1:0
- awayOlancho1:1
- homeLobos UPNFM2:0
- homeAtletico Choloma2:1
- awayMarathon1:1
Juticalpa
- homeMarathon3:2
- awayAtletico Independiente1:2
- homePolicia National0:3
- homeLobos UPNFM1:0
- awayEstrella Roja2:5
Head to head
- 04/07/26Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras1:1
- 02/12/26Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras1:1
- 11/01/25Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras3:4
- 08/25/25Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras0:2
- 04/04/25Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Real Espana853013:418
Real Espana853013:4182
Olimpia852119:717
Olimpia852119:7173
Marathon852114:617
Marathon852114:6174
Motagua841311:813
Motagua841311:8135
Policia National832310:611
Policia National832310:6116
Olancho82516:511
Olancho82516:5117
Estrella Roja823313:169
Estrella Roja823313:1698
Atletico Independiente82337:119
Atletico Independiente82337:1199
Lobos UPNFM82247:128
Lobos UPNFM82247:12810
Atletico Choloma82156:87
Atletico Choloma82156:8711Juticalpa82068:196
Juticalpa82068:19612
Platense81256:185
Platense81256:185Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.