Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.89
No47%
ours 2.12
All matches
—
Kalamata — Iraklis Thessaloniki, Super League
Greece, Super League
Kalamata
1.8LWDLL
Iraklis Thessaloniki
1.9DDWDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
44%28%28%
Kalamata44%Draw28%Iraklis Thessaloniki28%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kalamata2.25—
XDraw3.60—
2Iraklis Thessaloniki3.60—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKalamataIraklis ThessalonikiCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.500.170.67
Corners9.07.78.3
Cards3.02.75.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KalamataIraklis Thessaloniki
PS PAE Kalamata 44%, Iraklis Thessaloniki FC 28%. The safest is “PS PAE Kalamata or draw” at 78%.
PS PAE Kalamata 44%Draw 28%Iraklis Thessaloniki FC 28%
1st half
34 · 42 · 25
2nd half
39 · 40 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kalamata
- homePanathinaikos0:1
- homeVolos New3:1
- awayAtromitos1:1
- awayPanetolikos0:2
- homeAris Thessaloniki2:3
Iraklis Thessaloniki
- awayAris Thessaloniki0:0
- homeAtromitos1:1
- awayAsteras Tripolis2:0
- awayVolos New1:1
- awayAEK Athens0:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797
Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:669
Kifisias51224:75
Kifisias51224:7510Kalamata51136:84
Kalamata51136:8411
Atromitos50234:72
Atromitos50234:7212
Asteras Tripolis50234:92
Asteras Tripolis50234:92Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.