Both teams to score
Yes48%
ours 2.08
No52%
ours 1.93
All matches
—
Panetolikos — Olympiakos, Super League
Greece, Super League
Panetolikos
1.5LLWWW
Olympiakos
3.5WWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
13%20%67%
Panetolikos13%Draw20%Olympiakos67%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Panetolikos7.73—
XDraw4.95—
2Olympiakos1.50—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPanetolikosOlympiakosCombined
Goals scored1.330.672.00
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners8.611.39.9
Cards2.41.53.9
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
PanetolikosOlympiakos
Panaitolikos GFS Agrinio 13%, Olympiakos CFP 67%. The safest is “Olympiakos CFP or draw” at 87%.
Panaitolikos GFS Agrinio 13%Draw 20%Olympiakos CFP 67%
1st half
16 · 37 · 47
2nd half
20 · 39 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Panetolikos
- homePAOK1:3
- awayPanathinaikos0:3
- awayLevadiakos2:0
- homeKalamata2:0
- homeAsteras Tripolis3:1
Olympiakos
- awayLevadiakos1:0
- homeJagiellonia2:1
- homeOFI0:1
- awayVolos New1:1
- awayAsteras Tripolis1:0
Head to head
- 02/21/26Super League0:2
- 11/30/25Super League0:1
- 01/06/25Super League0:2
- 09/15/24Super League0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3
AEK Athens532013:311
AEK Athens532013:3114
OFI53118:410
OFI53118:4105Olympiakos53114:210
Olympiakos53114:2106Panetolikos53028:79
Panetolikos53028:797
Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
Aris Thessaloniki52125:1078
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.