Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
—
Lyon — Crystal Palace, UEFA Europa League
Europe, UEFA Europa League
Lyon
3.0WWDWD
Crystal Palace
2.4DWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
35%26%39%
Lyon35%Draw26%Crystal Palace39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Lyon2.85—
XDraw3.85—
2Crystal Palace2.57—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLyonCrystal PalaceCombined
Goals scored1.671.673.34
Conceded0.501.502.00
Corners10.48.69.5
Cards1.81.02.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
LyonCrystal Palace
Olympique Lyonnais 35%, Crystal Palace FC 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Olympique Lyonnais 35%Draw 26%Crystal Palace FC 39%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 7.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Lyon
- homeRennes4:0
- awayAnderlecht2:1
- awayParis FC0:0
- homeAuxerre3:1
- homeLe Havre1:1
Crystal Palace
- awayLeeds United0:0
- homeLech Poznan4:0
- homeIpswich Town2:3
- awayFulham3:2
- homeManchester City1:4
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
23
Sheriff41121:64
Sheriff41121:6424
Juventus11005:03
Juventus11005:0325Crystal Palace11004:03
Crystal Palace11004:0326
Sparta Prague11004:13
Sparta Prague11004:1327
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:03
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:0328
Bayer Leverkusen11002:03
Bayer Leverkusen11002:0329
Bournemouth11002:13
Bournemouth11002:1330Lyon11002:13
Lyon11002:1331
Olympiakos11002:13
Olympiakos11002:1332
Torreense11002:13
Torreense11002:13Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.