All matches

Nafta Lendava — Bravo, PrvaLiga

Slovenia, PrvaLiga

Nafta Lendava
1.3LWWLL
—
Bravo
2.7WWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
30%24%46%
Nafta Lendava30%Draw24%Bravo46%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Nafta Lendava30%3.32—
XDraw24%4.22—
2Bravo46%2.16—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.61

No38%

ours 2.65

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricNafta LendavaBravoCombined
Goals scored1.331.172.50
Conceded1.830.832.66
Corners10.29.29.7
Cards1.73.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Nafta LendavaBravo

NK Nafta 1903 Lendava 30%, AŠK Bravo Publikum 46%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

NK Nafta 1903 Lendava 30%Draw 24%AŠK Bravo Publikum 46%
1st half
31 · 30 · 39
2nd half
33 · 37 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Under 2.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Nafta Lendava

  • awayKoper0:2
  • awayBrinje-Grosuplje2:1
  • homeRadomlje3:1
  • homeMaribor2:3
  • awayOlimpija Ljubljana0:1

Bravo

  • homeOlimpija Ljubljana2:1
  • homeCelje2:1
  • awayAluminij0:0
  • homeNS Mura2:0
  • awayMaribor1:3

Head to head

  • 07/26/26PrvaLiga3:0
  • 05/02/25PrvaLiga0:1
  • 03/08/25PrvaLiga1:1
  • 11/09/24PrvaLiga0:1
  • 08/26/24PrvaLiga0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Maribor1055019:820
2Koper1053211:818
3Bravo1053212:1018
4Olimpija Ljubljana1042410:814
5Aluminij1034316:1113
6Nafta Lendava1041517:1613
7Celje933311:1112
8Brinje-Grosuplje1032514:1811

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.