Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.79
No44%
ours 2.27
All matches
—
Aluminij — Olimpija Ljubljana, PrvaLiga
Slovenia, PrvaLiga
Aluminij
1.5DWDLL
Olimpija Ljubljana
2.7LWWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
28%25%47%
Aluminij28%Draw25%Olimpija Ljubljana47%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Aluminij3.54—
XDraw4.07—
2Olimpija Ljubljana2.12—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAluminijOlimpija LjubljanaCombined
Goals scored1.331.332.66
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners12.89.411.1
Cards1.82.84.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AluminijOlimpija Ljubljana
NK Aluminij 28%, NK Olimpija Ljubljana 47%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
NK Aluminij 28%Draw 25%NK Olimpija Ljubljana 47%
1st half
28 · 35 · 37
2nd half
27 · 38 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Over 0.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Aluminij
- awayMaribor2:2
- awayNS Mura6:1
- homeBravo0:0
- homeCelje0:2
- homeKoper0:1
Olimpija Ljubljana
- awayBravo1:2
- awayKoper3:1
- homeBrinje-Grosuplje3:0
- awayRadomlje0:0
- homeNafta Lendava1:0
Head to head
- 08/02/26PrvaLiga0:1
- 04/11/26PrvaLiga1:2
- 02/05/26PrvaLiga1:2
- 10/03/25PrvaLiga1:1
- 07/26/25PrvaLiga0:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Koper1053211:818
Koper1053211:8183
Bravo1053212:1018
Bravo1053212:10184Olimpija Ljubljana1042410:814
Olimpija Ljubljana1042410:8145Aluminij1034316:1113
Aluminij1034316:11136
Nafta Lendava1041517:1613
Nafta Lendava1041517:16137
Celje933311:1112
Celje933311:1112Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.