Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
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Maccabi Petah Tikva — Hapoel Be'er Sheva, Israeli Premier League
Israel, Israeli Premier League
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.6LLLWW
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
3.5WDWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
20%22%58%
Maccabi Petah Tikva20%Draw22%Hapoel Be'er Sheva58%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Maccabi Petah Tikva5.10—
XDraw4.52—
2Hapoel Be'er Sheva1.72—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricMaccabi Petah TikvaHapoel Be'er ShevaCombined
Goals scored0.670.170.84
Conceded1.500.001.50
Corners11.711.011.3
Cards0.72.02.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Maccabi Petah TikvaHapoel Be'er Sheva
Maccabi Petah Tikva FC 20%, Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 58%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Maccabi Petah Tikva FC 20%Draw 22%Hapoel Be'er Sheva FC 58%
1st half
22 · 38 · 40
2nd half
27 · 39 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Maccabi Petah Tikva
- homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem2:4
- awayBeitar Jerusalem1:3
- homeIroni Tiberias1:2
- awayIhoud Bnei Sakhnin2:1
- homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona2:1
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
- homeHapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona1:0
- homeDinamo Zagreb0:0
- awayHapoel Petah Tikva2:0
- homeMaccabi Tel Aviv1:4
- homeHapoel Haifa2:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Maccabi Haifa540112:712
Maccabi Haifa540112:7123
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:410
Hapoel Tel Aviv531111:4104Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:710
Hapoel Be'er Sheva53118:7105
Beitar Jerusalem53027:99
Beitar Jerusalem53027:996
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:127
Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem521212:1277
Ironi Tiberias52127:87
Ironi Tiberias52127:878
Hapoel Haifa51317:66
Hapoel Haifa51317:669Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:11610
Maccabi Netanya51226:65
Maccabi Netanya51226:6511
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.