All matches

LNZ Cherkasy — Metalist Kharkiv, Ukrainian Premier League

Ukraine, Ukrainian Premier League

LNZ Cherkasy
2.2LWDLW
—
Metalist Kharkiv
2.4WWWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
31%29%39%
LNZ Cherkasy31%Draw29%Metalist Kharkiv39%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1LNZ Cherkasy31%3.18—
XDraw29%3.41—
2Metalist Kharkiv39%2.55—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes46%

ours 2.17

No54%

ours 1.85

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricLNZ CherkasyMetalist KharkivCombined
Goals scored0.501.672.17
Conceded0.670.000.67
Corners7.78.38.0
Cards2.00.72.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

LNZ CherkasyMetalist Kharkiv

LNZ Cherkasy FC 31%, FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 39%. The safest is “FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or draw” at 72%.

LNZ Cherkasy FC 31%Draw 29%FC Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 39%
1st half
29 · 46 · 25
2nd half
24 · 43 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Away or draw

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

LNZ Cherkasy

  • awayShakhtar Donetsk0:3
  • homeObolon-Brovar Kyiv3:1
  • awayDynamo Kyiv0:0
  • homeVeres Rivne0:1
  • homeChornomorets Odessa2:0

Metalist Kharkiv

  • homeBukovyna Chernivtsi2:0
  • homeObolon-Brovar Kyiv5:0
  • awayZorya Luhansk3:0
  • homeShakhtar Donetsk0:1
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr1:3

Head to head

  • 04/26/26Ukrainian Premier League1:1
  • 10/25/25Ukrainian Premier League1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Karpaty Lviv742115:514
4Dynamo Kyiv64119:513
5Metalist Kharkiv640212:412
6Veres Rivne72326:69
7Epitsentr Dunayivtsi72236:78
8LNZ Cherkasy72235:88
9Zorya Luhansk72237:118
10Livyi Bereh61414:37

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.