Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.77
No43%
ours 2.30
All matches
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Le Havre — PSG, Ligue 1
France, Ligue 1
Le Havre
1.2LDLDL
PSG
4.1WWWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
17%19%63%
Le Havre17%Draw19%PSG63%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Le Havre5.78—
XDraw5.16—
2PSG1.58—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricLe HavrePSGCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.830.171.00
Corners11.010.010.5
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Le HavrePSG
Le Havre AC 17%, Paris Saint-Germain FC 63%. The safest is “Paris Saint-Germain FC or draw” at 80%.
Le Havre AC 17%Draw 19%Paris Saint-Germain FC 63%
1st half
23 · 35 · 42
2nd half
23 · 36 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Le Havre
- awayToulouse2:3
- homeAngers0:0
- homeBrest1:2
- awayLyon1:1
- homeMonaco0:1
PSG
- awayMarseille2:1
- awayBrest1:0
- homeSlovan Bratislava6:1
- homeMonaco1:2
- awayLille2:2
Head to head
- 02/28/26Ligue 10:1
- 11/22/25Ligue 10:3
- 04/19/25Ligue 11:2
- 08/16/24Ligue 11:4
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Lille53118:410
Lille53118:4105
Rennes53118:910
Rennes53118:9106PSG52218:78
PSG52218:787
Angers52126:57
Angers52126:578
Strasbourg521210:107
Strasbourg521210:1079
Le Mans51319:96
Le Mans51319:9610
Auxerre52037:126
Auxerre52037:12611
Brest51227:85
Brest51227:8512
Lorient51225:65
Lorient51225:6513
Toulouse51227:95
Toulouse51227:9514
Nice51223:65
Nice51223:6515
Lens51139:94
Lens51139:9416
Troyes51134:114
Troyes51134:11417
Marseille51047:83
Marseille51047:8318Le Havre50234:72
Le Havre50234:72Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.