Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.77
No44%
ours 2.30
All matches
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Gornik Zabrze — Piast Gliwice, Ekstraklasa
Poland, Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze
2.4DWWWW
Piast Gliwice
1.8LWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
53%25%22%
Gornik Zabrze53%Draw25%Piast Gliwice22%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gornik Zabrze1.88—
XDraw3.98—
2Piast Gliwice4.63—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricGornik ZabrzePiast GliwiceCombined
Goals scored1.171.502.67
Conceded0.330.500.83
Corners7.610.69.1
Cards2.61.84.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Gornik ZabrzePiast Gliwice
KS Górnik Zabrze 53%, GKS Piast Gliwice 22%. The safest is “KS Górnik Zabrze or draw” at 78%.
KS Górnik Zabrze 53%Draw 25%GKS Piast Gliwice 22%
1st half
41 · 40 · 19
2nd half
36 · 39 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
70%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Gornik Zabrze
- awayMotor Lublin0:0
- awayKorona Kielce2:0
- homeLech Poznan2:1
- awayCracovia Krakow1:0
- awayRakow2:1
Piast Gliwice
- homePogon Szczecin1:2
- awayRadomiak Radom2:0
- homeGKS Katowice3:0
- awayMotor Lublin2:0
- homeLegia Warsaw1:1
Head to head
- 01/31/26Ekstraklasa2:1
- 07/26/25Ekstraklasa1:0
- 05/17/25Ekstraklasa0:2
- 11/24/24Ekstraklasa1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Gornik Zabrze971116:822
Gornik Zabrze971116:8222
Legia Warsaw954019:819
Legia Warsaw954019:8193
Lech Poznan861117:719
Lech Poznan861117:7194
Wisla Krakow952217:1217
Wisla Krakow952217:12175
Pogon Szczecin843112:615
Pogon Szczecin843112:6156
Korona Kielce943212:1015
Korona Kielce943212:10157
Zaglebie Lubin943211:1015
Zaglebie Lubin943211:10158Piast Gliwice941416:1513
Piast Gliwice941416:15139
GKS Katowice840416:1312
GKS Katowice840416:131210
Jagiellonia840412:1312
Jagiellonia840412:1312Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.