All matches

Dinamo Tirana — Egnatia, Superliga

Albania, Superliga

Dinamo Tirana
2.3WWWWL
—
Egnatia
2.7WLWWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
42%29%30%
Dinamo Tirana42%Draw29%Egnatia30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dinamo Tirana42%2.39—
XDraw29%3.50—
2Egnatia30%3.38—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.82

No45%

ours 2.22

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDinamo TiranaEgnatiaCombined
Goals scored1.670.502.17
Conceded0.670.501.17
Corners9.88.08.9
Cards1.80.52.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Dinamo TiranaEgnatia

KS Dinamo Tirana 42%, KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

KS Dinamo Tirana 42%Draw 29%KS Egnatia Rrogozhinë 30%
1st half
35 · 37 · 27
2nd half
31 · 42 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Dinamo Tirana

  • homeLaci3:1
  • awayPartizani4:2
  • homeElbasani2:1
  • awaySkenderbeu Korce1:0
  • awayPaphos2:4

Egnatia

  • homePartizani2:1
  • awayElbasani1:2
  • homeSkenderbeu Korce2:1
  • awayVora3:1
  • awayLillestrom1:2

Head to head

  • 05/31/26Superliga0:2
  • 05/02/26Superliga2:0
  • 02/20/26Superliga0:1
  • 12/14/25Superliga1:2
  • 10/18/25Superliga0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Teuta Durres541010:213
2Egnatia540111:512
3Dinamo Tirana540110:512
4Laci52127:87
5Elbasani51317:76

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.