All matches

Kocaelispor — Caykur Rizespor, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Kocaelispor
1.8WLWWW
—
Caykur Rizespor
1.8DWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%27%29%
Kocaelispor43%Draw27%Caykur Rizespor29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kocaelispor43%2.30—
XDraw27%3.65—
2Caykur Rizespor29%3.43—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.87

No47%

ours 2.15

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricKocaelisporCaykur RizesporCombined
Goals scored0.500.671.17
Conceded0.170.500.67
Corners10.010.710.3
Cards1.01.72.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

KocaelisporCaykur Rizespor

Kocaelispor Kulübü 43%, Çaykur Rizespor 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

Kocaelispor Kulübü 43%Draw 27%Çaykur Rizespor 29%
1st half
33 · 44 · 23
2nd half
33 · 39 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Kocaelispor

  • homeGaziantep2:0
  • awayGalatasaray0:1
  • homeSamsunspor1:0
  • awayKonyaspor2:1
  • homeAmedspor2:0

Caykur Rizespor

  • awayGoztepe2:2
  • awayEyupspor2:0
  • homeAlanyaspor0:1
  • awayGaziantep2:1
  • homeSamsunspor0:2

Head to head

  • 02/20/26Süper Lig0:2
  • 09/21/25Süper Lig1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Galatasaray641113:1013
3Besiktas640214:712
4Kocaelispor64027:412
5Alanyaspor63218:611
6Fenerbahce631216:610
7Trabzonspor631213:510
8Kasimpasa62407:510
9Caykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.