All matches

Wieczysta Krakow — Rakow, Ekstraklasa

Poland, Ekstraklasa

Wieczysta Krakow
1.7DLDLL
—
Rakow
2.5LLWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
45%25%30%
Wieczysta Krakow45%Draw25%Rakow30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Wieczysta Krakow45%2.23—
XDraw25%3.97—
2Rakow30%3.33—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.60

No38%

ours 2.66

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricWieczysta KrakowRakowCombined
Goals scored0.501.171.67
Conceded1.171.672.84
Corners10.39.810.0
Cards1.52.43.9
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Wieczysta KrakowRakow

Klub Sportowy Wieczysta Kraków 45%, KS Raków Częstochowa 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

Klub Sportowy Wieczysta Kraków 45%Draw 25%KS Raków Częstochowa 30%
1st half
36 · 39 · 26
2nd half
36 · 36 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Wieczysta Krakow

  • awayWidzew Lodz2:2
  • awayPogon Szczecin0:2
  • homeZaglebie Lubin1:1
  • awayWisla Krakow0:2
  • awayCracovia Krakow2:3

Rakow

  • awayKorona Kielce2:3
  • homeZaglebie Lubin2:3
  • homeMotor Lublin2:1
  • awayLech Poznan0:1
  • homeGornik Zabrze1:2

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Slask Wroclaw913511:156
16Motor Lublin91359:156
17Wieczysta Krakow812511:175
18Rakow910812:213

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.