All matches

Gjilani — Llapi, Superleague

Kosovo, Superleague

Gjilani
2.2WWLLD
  
Llapi
1.6LWLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
56%23%21%
Gjilani56%Draw23%Llapi21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gjilani56%1.79—
XDraw23%4.36—
2Llapi21%4.73—

our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.88

No47%

ours 2.14

Over 2.5 goals

This market opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This market opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 2671 matches

Corners

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 2666 matches

Cards

This market opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 2655 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GjilaniLlapi

KF Gjilani 56%, KF Llapi Podujevë 21%. The safest is “KF Gjilani or draw” at 80%.

KF Gjilani 56%Draw 23%KF Llapi Podujevë 21%
1st half
31 · 46 · 24
2nd half
46 · 37 · 17
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGjilaniLlapiCombined
Goals scored1.000.401.40
Conceded0.602.202.80
Corners8.28.08.1
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Gjilani
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 3:0, 0:1, 1:2, 0:0
  • 9th of 10 for shots on target — 3.0 per match10 teams in the league
  • Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings2:0, 1:2, 3:2, 3:0, 1:4
Llapi
  • Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches1:2, 1:0, 0:1, 0:4, 0:4
  • Relegation zone: 9th of 10
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Gjilani

  • homeFeronikeli1:0
  • homeDrenica3:0
  • awayLlamkos0:1
  • homePrishtina1:2
  • awayDrita0:0

Llapi

  • homeDrita1:2
  • awayFeronikeli1:0
  • homeBallkani0:1
  • awayDrenica0:4
  • homeUjvara0:4

Head to head

  • 08/23/26Superleague2:0
  • 05/17/26Superleague1:2
  • 03/18/26Superleague3:2
  • 12/07/25Superleague3:0
  • 09/28/25Superleague1:4

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Ujvara1072123:823
2Prishtina972020:523
3Gjilani1052314:917
4Drita952211:717
5Dukagjini1045110:617
6Ballkani1041510:1013
7Drenica1025311:1411
8Feronikeli102177:177
9Llapi1020810:246
10Llamkos101096:223

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.