All matches

Jubilo Iwata — Consadole Sapporo, J2 League

Japan, J2 League

Jubilo Iwata
LLLWL
—
Consadole Sapporo
WLDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%23%29%
Jubilo Iwata48%Draw23%Consadole Sapporo29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Jubilo Iwata48%2.09—
XDraw23%4.32—
2Consadole Sapporo29%3.44—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.61

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricJubilo IwataConsadole SapporoCombined
Goals scored1.171.332.50
Conceded1.332.003.33
Corners11.311.511.4
Cards2.31.23.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Jubilo IwataConsadole Sapporo

Jubilo Iwata 48%, Consadole Sapporo 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Jubilo Iwata 48%Draw 23%Consadole Sapporo 29%
1st half
39 · 39 · 21
2nd half
38 · 32 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Jubilo Iwata

  • awayVegalta Sendai1:2
  • homeVanraure Hachinohe1:2
  • awayAlbirex Niigata1:2
  • awayVentforet Kofu1:0
  • homeKataller Toyama0:1

Consadole Sapporo

  • homeIwaki FC2:1
  • awayTegevajaro Miyazaki2:3
  • homeOita Trinita1:1
  • awayVegalta Sendai1:1
  • homeTochigi City1:4

Head to head

  • 07/12/25J2 League5:1
  • 05/06/25J2 League4:2
  • 08/25/24J1 League0:2
  • 05/15/24J1 League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Oita Trinita92529:711
13Tochigi City931515:1510
14Jubilo Iwata931511:1310
15Vanraure Hachinohe93155:1410
16Iwaki FC930612:179
17Sagan Tosu92258:128
18Consadole Sapporo922512:188
19FC Imabari92169:187
20Ventforet Kofu92167:177

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.