All matches

Iraklis Thessaloniki — Kifisias, Super League

Greece, Super League

Iraklis Thessaloniki
1.9DDWDL
—
Kifisias
1.7WDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%28%30%
Iraklis Thessaloniki43%Draw28%Kifisias30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Iraklis Thessaloniki43%2.33—
XDraw28%3.62—
2Kifisias30%3.39—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.87

No47%

ours 2.15

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIraklis ThessalonikiKifisiasCombined
Goals scored0.670.501.17
Conceded0.331.001.33
Corners6.810.08.4
Cards2.83.86.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Iraklis ThessalonikiKifisias

Iraklis Thessaloniki FC 43%, Kifisias FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

Iraklis Thessaloniki FC 43%Draw 28%Kifisias FC 30%
1st half
32 · 41 · 28
2nd half
29 · 41 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Iraklis Thessaloniki

  • awayAris Thessaloniki0:0
  • homeAtromitos1:1
  • awayAsteras Tripolis2:0
  • awayVolos New1:1
  • awayAEK Athens0:4

Kifisias

  • awayAtromitos2:1
  • homeLevadiakos0:0
  • awayPanathinaikos1:3
  • awayOFI0:2
  • homeAEK Athens1:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Panetolikos53028:79
7Aris Thessaloniki52125:107
8Iraklis Thessaloniki51314:66
9Kifisias51224:75
10Kalamata51136:84
11Atromitos50234:72

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.