All matches

Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin — Hapoel Petah Tikva, Israeli Premier League

Israel, Israeli Premier League

Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin
1.2WLLLD
—
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.7LLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
29%27%44%
Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin29%Draw27%Hapoel Petah Tikva44%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin29%3.49—
XDraw27%3.70—
2Hapoel Petah Tikva44%2.26—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

ours 1.92

No48%

ours 2.09

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricIhoud Bnei SakhninHapoel Petah TikvaCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded1.001.332.33
Corners10.07.48.7
Cards1.42.03.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Ihoud Bnei SakhninHapoel Petah Tikva

Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin FC 29%, Hapoel Petah Tikva FC 44%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.

Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin FC 29%Draw 27%Hapoel Petah Tikva FC 44%
1st half
26 · 43 · 30
2nd half
28 · 43 · 28
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: No draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin

  • homeHapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim1:0
  • awayHapoel Haifa1:3
  • homeBeitar Jerusalem0:1
  • homeMaccabi Petah Tikva1:2
  • awayMaccabi Netanya0:0

Hapoel Petah Tikva

  • awayHapoel Tel Aviv0:3
  • homeHapoel Be'er Sheva0:2
  • awayMaccabi Haifa1:2
  • homeHapoel Katamon Jerusalem1:0
  • awayIroni Tiberias0:1

Head to head

  • 02/07/26Israeli Premier League1:2
  • 02/07/26Israeli Premier League1:2
  • 11/01/25Israeli Premier League2:2
  • 11/01/25Israeli Premier League2:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Maccabi Petah Tikva52038:116
10Maccabi Netanya51226:65
11Ihoud Bnei Sakhnin51133:64
12Hapoel Ramat Gan Giv'atayim51044:93
13Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona51045:113
14Hapoel Petah Tikva51042:83

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.