Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.82
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
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Henan Jianye FC — Tianjin Teda FC, Chinese Super League
China, Chinese Super League
Henan Jianye FC
DDDDL
Tianjin Teda FC
WWDDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
49%26%25%
Henan Jianye FC49%Draw26%Tianjin Teda FC25%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Henan Jianye FC2.03—
XDraw3.83—
2Tianjin Teda FC4.05—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHenan Jianye FCTianjin Teda FCCombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded1.671.002.67
Corners10.811.411.1
Cards2.21.03.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Henan Jianye FCTianjin Teda FC
Henan Jianye FC 49%, Tianjin Teda FC 25%. The safest is “Henan Jianye FC or draw” at 79%.
Henan Jianye FC 49%Draw 26%Tianjin Teda FC 25%
1st half
43 · 38 · 19
2nd half
40 · 36 · 24
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Henan Jianye FC
- awayWuhan Three Towns FC1:1
- homeChengdu Better City FC0:0
- homeChongqing Tongliang Long FC1:1
- awayShenyang Urban FC4:4
- awayShanghai Shenhua FC1:4
Tianjin Teda FC
- homeShenyang Urban FC1:0
- homeZhejiang Professional FC2:1
- homeQingdao Youth Island FC1:1
- awayWuhan Three Towns FC0:0
- homeBeijing Guoan FC2:4
Head to head
- 05/19/26Chinese Super League2:1
- 09/28/25Chinese Super League0:1
- 05/05/25Chinese Super League3:4
- 09/14/24Chinese Super League0:1
- 05/04/24Chinese Super League1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8
Qingdao Youth Island FC26814431:3238
Qingdao Youth Island FC26814431:32389
Zhejiang Professional FC261061045:4336
Zhejiang Professional FC261061045:433610Tianjin Teda FC2698936:3235
Tianjin Teda FC2698936:323511Henan Jianye FC2689933:3533
Henan Jianye FC2689933:353312
Chongqing Tongliang Long FC26710927:3231
Chongqing Tongliang Long FC26710927:323113
Sichuan Jiuniu FC26841434:4528
Sichuan Jiuniu FC26841434:4528Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.