All matches

Harju Jalgpallikool — Flora, Meistriliiga

Estonia, Meistriliiga

Harju Jalgpallikool
1.4DWWLW
—
Flora
3.0WWDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
29%21%50%
Harju Jalgpallikool29%Draw21%Flora50%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Harju Jalgpallikool29%3.42—
XDraw21%4.88—
2Flora50%1.99—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes58%

ours 1.72

No42%

ours 2.39

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricHarju JalgpallikoolFloraCombined
Goals scored0.331.001.33
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners13.510.011.8
Cards4.00.54.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Harju JalgpallikoolFlora

Harju Jalgpallikool 29%, Tallinna FC Flora 50%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Harju Jalgpallikool 29%Draw 21%Tallinna FC Flora 50%
1st half
31 · 37 · 33
2nd half
30 · 36 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

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Form and context

Harju Jalgpallikool

  • homeKuressaare0:0
  • awayPaide2:1
  • awayVaprus Parnu3:2
  • homeTammeka Tartu0:2
  • awayNomme United2:1

Flora

  • homeVaprus Parnu3:2
  • awayNomme United3:2
  • awayNarva Trans2:2
  • homeNomme Kalju2:1
  • homeTammeka Tartu3:2

Head to head

  • 08/02/26Meistriliiga0:1
  • 04/30/26Meistriliiga0:5
  • 03/22/26Meistriliiga2:0
  • 10/04/25Meistriliiga1:2
  • 08/16/25Meistriliiga1:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Levadia29226181:2172
2Flora291811059:3955
3Paide29156848:3651
4Nomme Kalju29155952:2750
5Tammeka Tartu291421337:4744
6Harju Jalgpallikool291221541:4638
7Vaprus Parnu29941638:5831
8Kuressaare29851631:4929

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.