All matches

Gandzasar — Artsakh, Armenian Premier League

Armenia, Armenian Premier League

Gandzasar
1.6LLDLD
—
Artsakh
3.5WWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
16%74%
Gandzasar10%Draw16%Artsakh74%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gandzasar10%10.09—
XDraw16%6.28—
2Artsakh74%1.35—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes46%

ours 2.18

No54%

ours 1.85

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGandzasarArtsakhCombined
Goals scored0.001.331.33
Conceded0.670.331.00
Corners5.07.36.2
Cards2.00.72.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GandzasarArtsakh

Gandzasar 10%, FC Artsakh 74%. The safest is “FC Artsakh or draw” at 87%.

Gandzasar 10%Draw 16%FC Artsakh 74%
1st half
20 · 40 · 41
2nd half
17 · 35 · 48
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 9.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Gandzasar

  • homeArarat Yerevan0:1
  • awayAvan Academy0:3
  • homePyunik0:0
  • awaySardarapat1:3
  • awayVan1:1

Artsakh

  • homeVan2:0
  • awayUrartu3:0
  • homeGandzasar Kapan3:2
  • homeArarat Yerevan4:0
  • awayCSKA Yerevan1:0

Head to head

  • 08/02/26Armenian Premier League0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Artsakh880021:524
2Avan Academy861117:819
3Pyunik853018:818
4Alashkert843118:615
5Sardarapat833214:1212
6Urartu832312:1011
7Shirak831411:1010
8Ararat Yerevan83056:139
9CSKA Yerevan82248:108
10Van81164:214
11Gandzasar Kapan81078:203
12Gandzasar80263:172

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.