Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.65
No40%
ours 2.53
All matches
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Usti nad Labem — MFK Karviná, FNL
Czech Republic, FNL
Usti nad Labem
WLDWW
MFK Karviná
1.6WLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%24%39%
Usti nad Labem37%Draw24%MFK Karviná39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Usti nad Labem2.72—
XDraw4.15—
2MFK Karviná2.55—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos: result and total
Two events in one forecast. The model scores them together, from the probability of every scoreline — so the link between them is built in: when the home side is stronger, a win and plenty of goals tend to come together.
Combos come with a subscription: probability, fair odds and the market comparison for all 24 combinations.
Sign upAverage totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricUsti nad LabemMFK KarvináCombined
Goals scored0.831.332.16
Conceded0.501.171.67
Corners10.58.09.3
Cards2.01.33.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Usti nad LabemMFK Karviná
FK Ústí nad Labem 37%, MFK Karviná 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
FK Ústí nad Labem 37%Draw 24%MFK Karviná 39%
1st half
26 · 39 · 36
2nd half
37 · 32 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Over 8.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Usti nad Labem
- awayBanik Ostrava U212:0
- homeJihlava1:2
- homeSlavia Praha U211:1
- awayTaborsko1:0
- homeFK Dukla Praha3:1
MFK Karviná
- homeKromeriz3:2
- awayTrinec2:3
- homeKladno2:0
- awayPribram1:2
- homeViktoria Zizkov3:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1MFK Karviná960319:1218
MFK Karviná960319:12182Usti nad Labem953115:818
Usti nad Labem953115:8183
FK Dukla Praha952218:1317
FK Dukla Praha952218:13174
Jihlava951314:916
Jihlava951314:916Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.