All matches

Gomel — Dinamo Minsk, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

Gomel
2.3WLWWD
—
Dinamo Minsk
3.1WLDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
32%26%42%
Gomel32%Draw26%Dinamo Minsk42%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Gomel32%3.09—
XDraw26%3.90—
2Dinamo Minsk42%2.38—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.90

No47%

ours 2.11

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGomelDinamo MinskCombined
Goals scored1.000.331.33
Conceded0.500.170.67
Corners10.011.010.5
Cards2.31.73.9
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GomelDinamo Minsk

FK Gomel 32%, FC Dinamo Minsk 42%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.

FK Gomel 32%Draw 26%FC Dinamo Minsk 42%
1st half
32 · 39 · 28
2nd half
30 · 39 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Gomel

  • awayBaranovichi2:0
  • awayIsloch1:2
  • awayTorpedo Zhodino2:1
  • homeBelshina Bobruisk1:0
  • awaySlavia-Mozyr0:0

Dinamo Minsk

  • homeBATE Borisov2:0
  • homeDinamo Brest0:1
  • awayVitebsk0:0
  • homeNaftan Novopolotsk5:1
  • homeBaranovichi0:1

Head to head

  • 06/13/26Vysheyshaya Liga1:2
  • 10/18/25Vysheyshaya Liga0:0
  • 05/25/25Vysheyshaya Liga0:1
  • 09/12/24Vysheyshaya Liga0:2
  • 04/13/24Vysheyshaya Liga0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Isloch22136337:1845
2Vitebsk21128142:1744
3Dinamo Minsk21134437:1643
4Dinamo Brest23124738:2340
5Gomel23116633:1839
6Neman Grodno22114726:2037
7Vitebsk23106728:2136

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.