All matches

FC Nantes — Clermont Foot 63, Ligue 2

France, Ligue 2

FC Nantes
1.0WLWDL
—
Clermont Foot 63
DDDDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
50%26%24%
FC Nantes50%Draw26%Clermont Foot 6324%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Nantes50%2.01—
XDraw26%3.81—
2Clermont Foot 6324%4.18—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.90

No48%

ours 2.11

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC NantesClermont Foot 63Combined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners7.38.37.8
Cards1.72.34.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches

Corners

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69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches

Cards

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69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FC NantesClermont Foot 63

FC Nantes 50%, Clermont Foot 63 24%. The safest is “FC Nantes or draw” at 76%.

FC Nantes 50%Draw 26%Clermont Foot 63 24%
1st half
40 · 41 · 19
2nd half
37 · 37 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

FC Nantes

  • awayUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale2:1
  • awayFC Sochaux-Montbéliard0:1
  • homeAS Nancy-Lorraine1:0
  • awayEn Avant Guingamp3:3
  • homeRodez Aveyron Football2:5

Clermont Foot 63

  • awayGrenoble Foot 381:1
  • homeUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale0:0
  • awayUS du Littoral de Dunkerque1:1
  • homeFC Sochaux-Montbéliard0:0
  • homeDijon FCO1:1

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Grenoble Foot 3872238:118
14Rodez Aveyron Football721414:167
15FC Nantes72149:137
16Clermont Foot 6370614:66
17US Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale70523:55
18Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC71248:145

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.