Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.20
All matches
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Hegelmann — Kauno Zalgiris, A Lyga
Lithuania, A Lyga
Hegelmann
2.0DDLDD
Kauno Zalgiris
3.0WLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
23%24%54%
Hegelmann23%Draw24%Kauno Zalgiris54%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Hegelmann4.41—
XDraw4.23—
2Kauno Zalgiris1.86—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricHegelmannKauno ZalgirisCombined
Goals scored0.670.671.34
Conceded1.000.501.50
Corners8.314.511.4
Cards3.02.55.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
HegelmannKauno Zalgiris
FC Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas 23%, FK Kauno Žalgiris 54%. The safest is “FK Kauno Žalgiris or draw” at 76%.
FC Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas 23%Draw 24%FK Kauno Žalgiris 54%
1st half
24 · 37 · 39
2nd half
25 · 39 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Hegelmann
- homeSuduva Marijampole1:1
- awaySiauliai0:0
- homePanevezys1:3
- awayDziugas Telsiai2:2
- homeBanga Gargzdai1:1
Kauno Zalgiris
- awaySiauliai2:0
- awayZalgiris2:3
- awayPanevezys1:0
- homeSuduva Marijampole5:1
- homeDziugas Telsiai5:0
Head to head
- 08/08/26A Lyga0:2
- 06/14/26A Lyga1:1
- 04/11/26A Lyga0:5
- 10/01/25A Lyga1:1
- 08/27/25A Lyga1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Kauno Zalgiris30169562:2157
Kauno Zalgiris30169562:21572
Suduva Marijampole301511447:2556
Suduva Marijampole301511447:25563
TransINVEST30156951:3551
TransINVEST30156951:35514
Zalgiris301461044:3648
Zalgiris301461044:36485
Banga Gargzdai30138941:2847
Banga Gargzdai30138941:28476
Dziugas Telsiai301281039:4044
Dziugas Telsiai301281039:40447
Panevezys291051431:4435
Panevezys291051431:44358Hegelmann304151131:4827
Hegelmann304151131:48279
Siauliai31491827:5921
Siauliai31491827:592110
Trakai1603135:423
Trakai1603135:423Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.