Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.81
No45%
ours 2.23
All matches
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Dnepr Mogilev — Dinamo Minsk, Vysheyshaya Liga
Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev
0.8LDLDD
Dinamo Minsk
3.1WLDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
16%19%64%
Dnepr Mogilev16%Draw19%Dinamo Minsk64%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dnepr Mogilev6.11—
XDraw5.19—
2Dinamo Minsk1.55—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDnepr MogilevDinamo MinskCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded1.330.672.00
Corners12.011.811.9
Cards1.71.22.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Dnepr MogilevDinamo Minsk
FC Dnepr Mogilev 16%, FC Dinamo Minsk 64%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.
FC Dnepr Mogilev 16%Draw 19%FC Dinamo Minsk 64%
1st half
28 · 39 · 33
2nd half
23 · 33 · 44
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Under 2.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Dnepr Mogilev
- awayDinamo Brest2:4
- homeVitebsk1:1
- awayBaranovichi1:2
- homeIsloch0:0
- awayTorpedo Zhodino0:0
Dinamo Minsk
- homeBATE Borisov2:0
- homeDinamo Brest0:1
- awayVitebsk0:0
- homeNaftan Novopolotsk5:1
- homeBaranovichi0:1
Head to head
- 05/24/26Vysheyshaya Liga1:3
- 09/16/24Vysheyshaya Liga0:2
- 04/27/24Vysheyshaya Liga0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Isloch22136337:1845
Isloch22136337:18452
Vitebsk21128142:1744
Vitebsk21128142:17443Dinamo Minsk21134437:1643
Dinamo Minsk21134437:16434
Dinamo Brest23124738:2340
Dinamo Brest23124738:23405
Gomel23116633:1839
Gomel23116633:18396
Neman Grodno22114726:2037
Neman Grodno22114726:20377
Vitebsk23106728:2136
Vitebsk23106728:21368
Minsk23104930:2834
Minsk23104930:28349
Torpedo Zhodino2276928:2927
Torpedo Zhodino2276928:292710
Slavia-Mozyr2267923:2625
Slavia-Mozyr2267923:262511
Baranovichi23671024:3825
Baranovichi23671024:382512
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:412313
Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621
Belshina Bobruisk22561122:362114
BATE Borisov22391016:2718
BATE Borisov22391016:271815Dnepr Mogilev232101120:3616
Dnepr Mogilev232101120:361616
Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414
Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.