Both teams to score
Yes61%
ours 1.64
No39%
ours 2.56
All matches
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Dallas — Seattle Sounders, MLS
USA, MLS
Dallas
2.1WDWWW
Seattle Sounders
2.3WWWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
46%25%29%
Dallas46%Draw25%Seattle Sounders29%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dallas2.17—
XDraw4.07—
2Seattle Sounders3.41—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDallasSeattle SoundersCombined
Goals scored1.501.833.33
Conceded0.831.001.83
Corners9.612.010.8
Cards1.41.83.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
DallasSeattle Sounders
FC Dallas 46%, Seattle Sounders FC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
FC Dallas 46%Draw 25%Seattle Sounders FC 29%
1st half
38 · 35 · 27
2nd half
32 · 38 · 30
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Dallas
- homeLos Angeles1:0
- homeAustin0:0
- homePortland Timbers2:1
- awayMinnesota United2:1
- homeSporting Kansas City4:3
Seattle Sounders
- homeSporting Kansas City2:1
- homeMinnesota United3:1
- homeReal Salt Lake2:0
- awayColorado Rapids3:3
- awayLA Galaxy1:1
Head to head
- 04/26/26MLS1:2
- 05/24/25MLS0:1
- 04/13/25MLS0:1
- 06/23/24MLS2:3
- 04/14/24MLS0:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Vancouver Whitecaps26155659:2650
Vancouver Whitecaps26155659:26503
St. Louis City27138648:3647
St. Louis City27138648:36474Dallas27138650:4247
Dallas27138650:42475
Inter Miami271210564:5046
Inter Miami271210564:50466
New England Revolution27144945:3646
New England Revolution27144945:36467
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:3945
San Jose Earthquakes27136849:39458
Houston Dynamo27135934:3244
Houston Dynamo27135934:32449
Charlotte27127847:3843
Charlotte27127847:384310
Chicago Fire26126846:3842
Chicago Fire26126846:384211
Los Angeles28118943:3041
Los Angeles28118943:304112
Philadelphia Union271161054:4439
Philadelphia Union271161054:443913Seattle Sounders27108935:3538
Seattle Sounders27108935:353814
Colorado Rapids271131338:3836
Colorado Rapids271131338:383615
LA Galaxy28991037:4436
LA Galaxy28991037:4436Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.