Both teams to score
Yes52%
ours 1.91
No48%
ours 2.10
All matches
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Avan Academy — AZ Alkmaar, UEFA Europa League
Europe, UEFA Europa League
Avan Academy
3.3WLWWL
AZ Alkmaar
3.0WLDWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
11%18%71%
Avan Academy11%Draw18%AZ Alkmaar71%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Avan Academy8.87—
XDraw5.58—
2AZ Alkmaar1.41—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAvan AcademyAZ AlkmaarCombined
Goals scored1.170.331.50
Conceded0.830.331.16
Corners11.012.311.7
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Avan AcademyAZ Alkmaar
FC Avan Academy 11%, Alkmaar Zaanstreek 71%. The safest is “Alkmaar Zaanstreek or draw” at 89%.
FC Avan Academy 11%Draw 18%Alkmaar Zaanstreek 71%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Match result: Away
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Avan Academy
- awayShirak3:1
- homeSparta Prague1:4
- homeGandzasar3:0
- awayArarat Yerevan1:0
- awayPyunik1:2
AZ Alkmaar
- homeTelstar1:0
- awaySunderland0:1
- homeWillem II1:1
- awayHeerenveen3:2
- homeGo Ahead Eagles5:2
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
18
Paphos41127:64
Paphos41127:6419
Lillestrom31113:34
Lillestrom31113:3420Avan Academy31113:54
Avan Academy31113:5421
Iberia 199941123:74
Iberia 199941123:7422
Thun41127:124
Thun41127:12423
Sheriff41121:64
Sheriff41121:6424
Juventus11005:03
Juventus11005:0325
Crystal Palace11004:03
Crystal Palace11004:0326
Sparta Prague11004:13
Sparta Prague11004:1327
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:03
Union Saint-Gilloise11003:0328
Bayer Leverkusen11002:03
Bayer Leverkusen11002:0329
Bournemouth11002:13
Bournemouth11002:1330
Lyon11002:13
Lyon11002:1331
Olympiakos11002:13
Olympiakos11002:1332
Torreense11002:13
Torreense11002:1333
Sunderland11001:03
Sunderland11001:0334
Red Star Belgrade21014:53
Red Star Belgrade21014:5335
Sint-Truiden21013:43
Sint-Truiden21013:4336
Zilina21012:33
Zilina21012:3337
Viktoria Plzen31025:73
Viktoria Plzen31025:7338
Shamrock Rovers21014:63
Shamrock Rovers21014:6339
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:53
Vikingur Reykjavik21013:5340
Kauno Zalgiris21011:33
Kauno Zalgiris21011:3341
St. Gallen21012:63
St. Gallen21012:6342
U Cluj20200:02
U Cluj20200:0243
Dynamo Kyiv40222:52
Dynamo Kyiv40222:5244
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:01
Hapoel Be'er Sheva10100:0145
Sturm Graz10100:01
Sturm Graz10100:0146
Rennes10100:01
Rennes10100:0147
Dinamo Zagreb10100:01
Dinamo Zagreb10100:0148
Twente20113:41
Twente20113:4149
KuPS20112:31
KuPS20112:3150
Rangers20112:31
Rangers20112:3151
Lincoln Red Imps20111:21
Lincoln Red Imps20111:2152
Larne20111:21
Larne20111:2153
Gornik Zabrze20111:21
Gornik Zabrze20111:2154
Aluminij20110:11
Aluminij20110:1155
Hammarby20112:41
Hammarby20112:4156
Hearts20112:71
Hearts20112:7157
Real Sociedad10011:20
Real Sociedad10011:2058
Levski Sofia10010:10
Levski Sofia10010:1059AZ Alkmaar10010:10
AZ Alkmaar10010:1060
Celta Vigo10010:10
Celta Vigo10010:1061
Derry City20023:50
Derry City20023:50Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.