Both teams to score
Yes53%
ours 1.88
No47%
ours 2.14
All matches
—
Ararat Yerevan — Alashkert, Armenian Premier League
Armenia, Armenian Premier League
Ararat Yerevan
0.7WWLLL
Alashkert
2.2DDWDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
18%20%62%
Ararat Yerevan18%Draw20%Alashkert62%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Ararat Yerevan5.63—
XDraw5.05—
2Alashkert1.60—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricArarat YerevanAlashkertCombined
Goals scored0.501.331.83
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners6.011.08.5
Cards1.01.72.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Ararat YerevanAlashkert
FC Ararat Yerevan 18%, Alashkert FC 62%. The safest is “Alashkert FC or draw” at 78%.
FC Ararat Yerevan 18%Draw 20%Alashkert FC 62%
1st half
25 · 40 · 35
2nd half
23 · 35 · 42
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Ararat Yerevan
- awayGandzasar1:0
- awayGandzasar Kapan2:0
- homeAvan Academy0:1
- awayArtsakh0:4
- homePyunik0:2
Alashkert
- homePyunik3:3
- awaySardarapat1:1
- homeVan4:0
- awayUrartu1:1
- homeGandzasar Kapan3:0
Head to head
- 08/03/26Armenian Premier League0:3
- 04/14/26Armenian Premier League0:2
- 04/11/26Armenian Premier League2:3
- 08/16/25Armenian Premier League0:3
- 04/18/25Armenian Premier League3:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2
Avan Academy861117:819
Avan Academy861117:8193
Pyunik853018:818
Pyunik853018:8184Alashkert843118:615
Alashkert843118:6155
Sardarapat833214:1212
Sardarapat833214:12126
Urartu832312:1011
Urartu832312:10117
Shirak831411:1010
Shirak831411:10108Ararat Yerevan83056:139
Ararat Yerevan83056:1399
CSKA Yerevan82248:108
CSKA Yerevan82248:10810
Van81164:214
Van81164:214Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.