All matches

Eyupspor — Kasimpasa, Süper Lig

Turkey, Süper Lig

Eyupspor
1.4LLLWL
—
Kasimpasa
1.8DWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
39%27%34%
Eyupspor39%Draw27%Kasimpasa34%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Eyupspor39%2.57—
XDraw27%3.66—
2Kasimpasa34%2.96—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes54%

ours 1.85

No46%

ours 2.17

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEyupsporKasimpasaCombined
Goals scored0.330.831.16
Conceded2.330.673.00
Corners9.511.510.5
Cards1.53.04.5
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

EyupsporKasimpasa

Eyüp Spor Kulübü 39%, Kasimpasa 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

Eyüp Spor Kulübü 39%Draw 27%Kasimpasa 34%
1st half
38 · 40 · 22
2nd half
28 · 40 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Over 1.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Eyupspor

  • awayFenerbahce0:8
  • homeCaykur Rizespor0:2
  • awayCorum FK0:3
  • homeAlanyaspor2:1
  • homeGaziantep0:1

Kasimpasa

  • homeKonyaspor0:0
  • awayGenclerbirligi2:1
  • homeAmedspor2:2
  • awayIstanbul Basaksehir1:1
  • awayCorum FK1:0

Head to head

  • 03/15/26Süper Lig0:1
  • 10/20/25Süper Lig2:0
  • 05/10/25Süper Lig0:3
  • 12/13/24Süper Lig0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Fenerbahce631216:610
7Trabzonspor631213:510
8Kasimpasa62407:510
9Caykur Rizespor63127:610
10Gaziantep62227:78
11Corum FK621313:127
12Istanbul Basaksehir621310:117
13Genclerbirligi62135:137
14Erzurumspor62133:117
15Konyaspor61144:84
16Samsunspor61146:124
17Goztepe603311:153
18Eyupspor61052:163

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.