Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.01
No50%
ours 1.99
All matches
—
Plaza Amador — Sporting San Miguelito, LPF
Panama, LPF
Plaza Amador
3.2WWDDW
Sporting San Miguelito
1.7WDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
59%27%15%
Plaza Amador59%Draw27%Sporting San Miguelito15%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Plaza Amador1.70—
XDraw3.77—
2Sporting San Miguelito6.86—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricPlaza AmadorSporting San MiguelitoCombined
Goals scored0.831.172.00
Conceded0.501.001.50
Corners5.37.76.5
Cards2.01.03.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Plaza AmadorSporting San Miguelito
CD Plaza Amador 59%, AF Sporting San Miguelito 15%. The safest is “CD Plaza Amador or draw” at 82%.
CD Plaza Amador 59%Draw 27%AF Sporting San Miguelito 15%
1st half
37 · 42 · 21
2nd half
40 · 41 · 20
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
First half total: Under 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Plaza Amador
- homeUniversitario2:1
- awayUnion Cocle2:1
- homeVeraguas1:1
- awayIndependiente de La Chorrera2:2
- homeHerrera4:1
Sporting San Miguelito
- homeUnion Cocle3:1
- awayVeraguas1:1
- awayIndependiente de La Chorrera3:4
- homeSan Francisco0:2
- awayUniversitario1:1
Head to head
- 08/01/26LPF2:0
- 04/19/26LPF3:0
- 01/18/26LPF0:3
- 11/09/25LPF1:1
- 08/17/25LPF2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Plaza Amador1173126:1624
Plaza Amador1173126:16242
Arabe Unido1164116:822
Arabe Unido1164116:8223
San Francisco1162322:1420
San Francisco1162322:14204
Veraguas1146117:1518
Veraguas1146117:15185
UMECIT1144310:916
UMECIT1144310:9166
Tauro1142516:1314
Tauro1142516:13147
Alianza1135311:1014
Alianza1135311:10148
Independiente de La Chorrera1125415:1711
Independiente de La Chorrera1125415:17119
Universitario1125410:1211
Universitario1125410:121110Sporting San Miguelito1125411:1411
Sporting San Miguelito1125411:141111
Herrera1123610:239
Herrera1123610:23912
Union Cocle111288:215
Union Cocle111288:215Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.