All matches

Carrick Rangers — Limavady United, NIFL Premiership

Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers
1.4WLLDL
—
Limavady United
1.7DWLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%23%29%
Carrick Rangers48%Draw23%Limavady United29%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Carrick Rangers48%2.07—
XDraw23%4.43—
2Limavady United29%3.44—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.81

No45%

ours 2.23

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCarrick RangersLimavady UnitedCombined
Goals scored1.171.002.17
Conceded1.330.672.00
Corners11.57.09.3
Cards1.50.82.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Carrick RangersLimavady United

Carrick Rangers FC 48%, Limavady United FC 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.

Carrick Rangers FC 48%Draw 23%Limavady United FC 29%
1st half
40 · 35 · 24
2nd half
34 · 41 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Carrick Rangers

  • homeCrusaders4:0
  • awayGlentoran0:2
  • homeLarne2:5
  • awayBallymena United1:1
  • homeCliftonville1:3

Limavady United

  • awayPortadown2:2
  • homeCliftonville1:0
  • awayColeraine0:1
  • homeBangor3:1
  • awayCrusaders2:1

Head to head

  • 08/15/26NIFL Premiership2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Glentoran1051415:1016
5Crusaders1050515:1815
6Carrick Rangers1041515:1513
7Dungannon Swifts94149:1013
8Ballymena United933313:1112
9Cliftonville1040612:1212
10Limavady United93159:1310
11Bangor1012710:225
12Portadown100287:212

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.