Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.43
All matches
—
Talleres de Cordoba — Independiente, Primera División
Argentina, Primera División
Talleres de Cordoba
1.7LLWLD
Independiente
2.4LWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
40%26%34%
Talleres de Cordoba40%Draw26%Independiente34%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Talleres de Cordoba2.50—
XDraw3.78—
2Independiente2.98—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricTalleres de CordobaIndependienteCombined
Goals scored0.830.831.66
Conceded1.331.502.83
Corners10.511.711.1
Cards2.52.24.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Talleres de CordobaIndependiente
CA Talleres de Córdoba 40%, CA Independiente 34%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
CA Talleres de Córdoba 40%Draw 26%CA Independiente 34%
1st half
38 · 39 · 23
2nd half
31 · 37 · 32
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Talleres de Cordoba
- homeBelgrano de Cordoba0:1
- awayInstituto Córdoba1:3
- homeUnion de Santa Fe2:1
- awaySan Lorenzo de Almagro0:1
- homeCentral Córdoba de Santiago del Estero0:0
Independiente
- homeInstituto Córdoba1:4
- awayUnion de Santa Fe2:1
- homeSan Lorenzo de Almagro1:1
- awayCentral Córdoba de Santiago del Estero1:0
- homeGimnasia Mendoza0:3
Head to head
- 03/21/26Primera División2:1
- 07/21/25Primera División2:1
- 01/29/25Primera División2:3
- 04/20/17Primera División0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Huracan291111731:2444
Huracan291111731:244411
Instituto Córdoba26134932:2443
Instituto Córdoba26134932:244312Independiente28118936:3541
Independiente28118936:354113
Defensa y Justicia271010734:3240
Defensa y Justicia271010734:324014
Lanus27108928:2638
Lanus27108928:263815
Union de Santa Fe291071243:4237
Union de Santa Fe291071243:423716
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:3436
Gimnasia Mendoza271061128:343617
Barracas Central2698922:2335
Barracas Central2698922:233518
Racing Club29981232:3435
Racing Club29981232:343519
Sarmiento261121330:3635
Sarmiento261121330:363520Talleres de Cordoba28971228:3234
Talleres de Cordoba28971228:323421
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:2734
San Lorenzo de Almagro288101020:273422
Tigre27711928:2632
Tigre27711928:2632Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.