Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.80
No44%
ours 2.26
All matches
—
Botafogo-SP — SC do Recife, Serie B
Brazil, Serie B
Botafogo-SP
1.3LWDLL
SC do Recife
1.4WLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
39%26%35%
Botafogo-SP39%Draw26%SC do Recife35%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Botafogo-SP2.57—
XDraw3.83—
2SC do Recife2.85—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBotafogo-SPSC do RecifeCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded0.170.670.84
Corners10.017.013.5
Cards1.51.53.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Botafogo-SPSC do Recife
Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto 39%, SC do Recife 35%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Botafogo FC Ribeirão Preto 39%Draw 26%SC do Recife 35%
1st half
35 · 42 · 23
2nd half
32 · 37 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Botafogo-SP
- homeVila Nova0:1
- homePonte Preta2:0
- awayAthletic (MG)1:1
- homeGoias1:3
- homeGremio Novorizontino1:3
SC do Recife
- awayAthletic (MG)2:1
- awayNautico1:3
- homeJuventude2:1
- awayCRB1:2
- homePonte Preta2:0
Head to head
- 07/10/26Serie B3:3
- 10/20/24Serie B1:3
- 06/29/24Serie B1:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7
CRB311461146:4448
CRB311461146:44488
Operario Ferroviario31139943:4148
Operario Ferroviario31139943:41489SC do Recife311211842:3347
SC do Recife311211842:334710
Cuiaba311113732:2546
Cuiaba311113732:254611
Sao Bernardo311291043:3245
Sao Bernardo311291043:324512
Athletic (MG)311012937:3542
Athletic (MG)311012937:354213
Nautico311191139:3842
Nautico311191139:384214
Goias311261330:3942
Goias311261330:394215
Ceara311091234:3939
Ceara311091234:393916Botafogo-SP31981434:3735
Botafogo-SP31981434:373517
Avai31861730:4230
Avai31861730:423018
Londrina31771739:4528
Londrina31771739:4528Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.