Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.68
No40%
ours 2.47
All matches
—
Athletic (MG) — Londrina, Serie B
Brazil, Serie B
Athletic (MG)
1.7LDDWL
Londrina
1.4LLLWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
51%25%24%
Athletic (MG)51%Draw25%Londrina24%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Athletic (MG)1.95—
XDraw4.07—
2Londrina4.16—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAthletic (MG)LondrinaCombined
Goals scored1.001.502.50
Conceded1.331.172.50
Corners8.211.09.6
Cards1.22.23.4
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Athletic (MG)Londrina
Athletic Club (Minas Gerais) 51%, Londrina EC 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
Athletic Club (Minas Gerais) 51%Draw 25%Londrina EC 24%
1st half
43 · 38 · 20
2nd half
30 · 37 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 12.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Athletic (MG)
- homeSC do Recife1:2
- awayFortaleza2:2
- homeBotafogo-SP1:1
- awayJuventude2:0
- awayCuiaba0:3
Londrina
- homeCriciuma0:2
- awayVila Nova0:2
- homeFortaleza1:2
- homePonte Preta6:0
- awaySao Bernardo2:1
Head to head
- 06/20/26Serie B0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Cuiaba311113732:2546
Cuiaba311113732:254611
Sao Bernardo311291043:3245
Sao Bernardo311291043:324512Athletic (MG)311012937:3542
Athletic (MG)311012937:354213
Nautico311191139:3842
Nautico311191139:384214
Goias311261330:3942
Goias311261330:394215
Ceara311091234:3939
Ceara311091234:393916
Botafogo-SP31981434:3735
Botafogo-SP31981434:373517
Avai31861730:4230
Avai31861730:423018Londrina31771739:4528
Londrina31771739:452819
America Mineiro31452221:5217
America Mineiro31452221:521720
Ponte Preta31342417:6613
Ponte Preta31342417:6613Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.